Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2416 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

PD 2416 · BNA → YTZ

took off 1:30 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ BNA is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Arrivals into YTZ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YTZ (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 2416 · BNA → YTZ

Odds over time