Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2725 LANDED 3:44 PM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

PD 2725 · YTZ → IAD

took off 2:27 PM EDT · landed 3:44 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at YTZ that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

YTZ (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 2725 · YTZ → IAD

Odds over time