Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2946 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

PD 2946 · BOS → YTZ

departs 4:55 PM ET · arrives 6:42 PM EDT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ YTZ usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into YTZ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

YTZ (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 2946 · BOS → YTZ

Odds over time