PD 2948 · BOS → YTZ

departs 6:43 PM ET · arrives 8:38 PM EDT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YTZ?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ YTZ usually runs smoothly

↓ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

YTZ (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 2948 · BOS → YTZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YTZ?