PR 113 · LAX → MNL

took off 1:01 PM PT · expected to land 5:25 PM PST (scheduled 12:32 PM PT → 6:07 PM PST)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MNL more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MNL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MNL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PR 113 · LAX → MNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to MNL?