Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PHILIPPINE AIRLINES · FLIGHT PR 123 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

PR 123 · LAX → MNL

departs 5:06 PM PT · arrives 9:39 PM PST

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MNL more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MNL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MNL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PR 123 · LAX → MNL

Odds over time