Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5786 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

PT 5786 · PHL → GSP

departs 1:55 PM ET · arrives 3:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at GSP that day

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

GSP (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5786 · PHL → GSP

Odds over time