Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5800 LANDED 2:12 PM ET, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

PT 5800 · BUF → PHL

took off 1:20 PM ET · landed 2:12 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5800 · BUF → PHL

Odds over time