PT 5805 · PHL → RIC

took off 9:14 PM ET · landed 9:55 PM ET (scheduled 8:37 PM ET → 9:47 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RIC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at RIC that day

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5805 · PHL → RIC

Odds over time

How late did it get to RIC?