PT 5810 · PHL → MHT

took off 8:36 PM ET · landed 9:35 PM ET (scheduled 8:10 PM ET → 9:38 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MHT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MHT usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

MHT (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5810 · PHL → MHT

Odds over time

How late did it get to MHT?