Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5819 LANDED 10:29 PM ET, ~16 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

PT 5819 · PHL → SBY

took off 9:59 PM ET · landed 10:29 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SBY more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at PHL that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

SBY (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5819 · PHL → SBY

Odds over time