Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5823 LANDED 6:52 PM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

PT 5823 · PHL → ALB

took off 6:06 PM ET · landed 6:52 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ALB usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

ALB (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5823 · PHL → ALB

Odds over time