Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5866 LANDED 2:45 PM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

PT 5866 · PHL → TYS

took off 1:16 PM ET · landed 2:45 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5866 · PHL → TYS

Odds over time