Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 6012 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:09 PM ET, ETA 6:09 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

PT 6012 · PHL → ILM

took off 5:09 PM ET · expected to land 6:09 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↓ ILM usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

ILM (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6012 · PHL → ILM

Odds over time