PT 6098 · GSO → PHL

took off 7:38 PM ET · landed 8:41 PM ET (scheduled 7:36 PM ET → 9:09 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at GSO that day

↓ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at PHL that day

Weather at each end

GSO (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6098 · GSO → PHL

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHL?