PT 6102 · PHL → AVL

took off 4:24 PM ET · landed 5:38 PM ET (scheduled 4:35 PM ET → 6:41 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AVL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AVL that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

AVL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6102 · PHL → AVL

Odds over time

How late did it get to AVL?