Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 535 LANDED 2:15 PM EDT, ~18 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

QK 535 · LGA → YTZ

took off 12:59 PM ET · landed 2:15 PM EDT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LGA that day

↓ Arrivals into YTZ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YTZ (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 535 · LGA → YTZ

Odds over time