Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 537 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

QK 537 · LGA → YTZ

departs 6:54 PM ET · arrives 8:07 PM EDT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 6pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ YTZ usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YTZ (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 537 · LGA → YTZ

Odds over time