Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 540 LANDED 4:27 PM ET, ~14 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

QK 540 · YTZ → IAD

took off 3:20 PM EDT · landed 4:27 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into IAD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

YTZ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 540 · YTZ → IAD

Odds over time