Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2042 LANDED 1:43 PM PT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

QX 2042 · OAK → PDX

took off 12:23 PM PT · landed 1:43 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 12pm departures from OAK are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2042 · OAK → PDX

Odds over time