Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2141 LANDED 11:12 AM PT, ~25 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

QX 2141 · BZN → SEA

took off 10:45 AM MT · landed 11:12 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at SEA that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN

↓ BZN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2141 · BZN → SEA

Odds over time