Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2161 LANDED 2:57 PM MT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

QX 2161 · PDX → BIL

took off 12:24 PM PT · landed 2:57 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BIL

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

BIL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2161 · PDX → BIL

Odds over time