Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2208 LANDED 10:14 AM PT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

QX 2208 · SMF → SAN

took off 9:05 AM PT · landed 10:14 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2208 · SMF → SAN

Odds over time