QX 2328 · SEA → TUL

took off 12:35 PM PT · landed 5:47 PM CT (scheduled 11:51 AM PT → 5:37 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TUL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

TUL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2328 · SEA → TUL

Odds over time

How late did it get to TUL?