Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2418 LANDED 2:22 PM MT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

QX 2418 · SEA → BZN

took off 12:07 PM PT · landed 2:22 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BZN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

BZN (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2418 · SEA → BZN

Odds over time