QX 2456 · ONT → PDX

departs 5:30 PM PT · arrives 8:01 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at PDX that day

Weather at each end

ONT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2456 · ONT → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?