Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3001 LANDED 6:11 PM CT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

SY 3001 · LAS → BNA

took off 1:08 PM PT · landed 6:11 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3001 · LAS → BNA

Odds over time