Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3011 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:16 PM PT, ETA 4:21 PM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

SY 3011 · SBD → GEG

took off 2:16 PM PT · expected to land 4:21 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

↓ GEG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SBD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GEG (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3011 · SBD → GEG

Odds over time