Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3019 LANDED 4:27 PM CT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

SY 3019 · LAL → AUS

took off 3:03 PM ET · landed 4:27 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAL

↓ 3pm departures from LAL are usually not late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3019 · LAL → AUS

Odds over time