Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3031 LANDED 9:31 PM ET, ~18 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

SY 3031 · AUS → LAL

took off 6:20 PM CT · landed 9:31 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LAL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 6pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into LAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3031 · AUS → LAL

Odds over time