Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3041 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

SY 3041 · SBD → ABQ

departs 2:24 PM PT · arrives 4:43 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SBD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ABQ (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3041 · SBD → ABQ

Odds over time