Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3042 LANDED 6:49 PM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

SY 3042 · TOL → BWI

took off 5:48 PM ET · landed 6:49 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TOL

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at BWI that day

Weather at each end

TOL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3042 · TOL → BWI

Odds over time