Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3071 LANDED 8:12 PM CT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

SY 3071 · LAS → AFW

took off 4:13 PM PT · landed 8:12 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at AFW more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 4pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AFW (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3071 · LAS → AFW

Odds over time