Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

TURKISH AIRLINES · FLIGHT TK 12 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

TK 12 · LAX → IST

departs 1:55 PM PT · arrives 11:48 AM +03

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at IST more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into IST at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IST (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TK 12 · LAX → IST

Odds over time