Schedule: FAA flight plans.

TURKISH AIRLINES · FLIGHT TK 4 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:26 PM ET, ETA 5:48 AM +03)
Today

TK 4 · JFK → IST

took off 2:26 PM ET · expected to land 5:48 AM +03 (scheduled 1:14 PM ET → 5:02 AM +03)
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at IST more than 15 minutes late?
100% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 5h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IST?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    <1%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    73%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    27%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.