Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1205 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

UA 1205 · RDU → EWR

departs 6:33 PM ET · arrives 8:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±13 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at RDU that day

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,967 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1205 · RDU → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?