Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1276 LANDED 2:49 PM EST, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

UA 1276 · IAD → CUN

took off 12:49 PM ET · landed 2:49 PM EST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at CUN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at CUN that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CUN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

CUN (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1276 · IAD → CUN

Odds over time