Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1307 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

UA 1307 · EWR → ATL

departs 1:02 PM ET · arrives 3:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1307 · EWR → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?