UA 1397 · EWR → PWM

departs 10:09 PM ET · arrives 11:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PWM?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 10pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

PWM (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1397 · EWR → PWM

Odds over time

How late will it get to PWM?