Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1424 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

UA 1424 · OKC → DEN

departs 9:15 AM CT · arrives 10:01 AM MT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ OKC is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OKC

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1424 · OKC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?