UA 1459 · POS → IAH

departs 12:33 AM AST · arrives 5:36 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at POS

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

POS (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1459 · POS → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?