UA 1478 · YEG → IAH

departs 8:01 AM MDT · arrives 1:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YEG

↑ This route's recent record

↑ YEG is busy at that time

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

YEG (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1478 · YEG → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?