Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1486SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1486 · TVC → ORD
departs 7:15 AM ET · arrives 7:42 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
9%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.