tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1498 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1498 · IAD → EWR

departs 12:35 PM ET · arrives 2:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±4 pts −6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.