UA 1552 · SFO → SLC

departs 6:34 PM PT · arrives 9:35 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1552 · SFO → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?