UA 1599 · IAH → DFW

departs 4:50 PM CT · arrives 6:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1599 · IAH → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?