Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1611 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

UA 1611 · EWR → CLE

departs 6:35 PM ET · arrives 8:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1611 · EWR → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?