Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1770 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

UA 1770 · MCO → DEN

departs 5:17 PM ET · arrives 7:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ 5pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.54 in

DEN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1770 · MCO → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?