tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1826 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1826 · EWR → SAN

departs 6:35 AM ET · arrives 9:21 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
7% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    92%
  2. 15–30 min late
    1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.