Schedule: FAA flight plans.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1851
SCHEDULED
Tomorrow
UA 1851 · MSN → ORD
departs 4:05 PM CT · arrives 5:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to ORD?
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On time or early
82%
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15–30 min late
7%
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30 min–1 hour late
6%
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1–2 hours late
2%
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Over 2 hours late
2%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.